Time To Take Back The Country; Congressional Candidates Deserving Your Support: Ron Paul, John Dennis, BJ Lawson, Rand Paul

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It’s time to take back our country. You can help. Moreover, you must help or it will not get done. There is a long list of politicians who need to be booted and some excellent choices for their replacements.

Here is a partial list of candidates I openly endorse. More names will follow later.

BJ Lawson For North Carolina 4th District

I have high hopes for BJ Lawson.
He will win with your help.
Please support BJ Lawson District 4 North Carolina
Click here to Volunteer Services For BJ Lawson

John Dennis For California 8th District

John Dennis is running against Nancy Pelosi.
He has a genuine shot but he needs your help to pull off an upset.

Please support John Dennis for District 8 California
Click here to Volunteer Services For John Dennis

Ron Paul For Texas 14th District

Please support Ron Paul for District 14 Texas
Click here to Volunteer Services For Ron Paul

Rand Paul For US Senate Kentucky

Rand Paul is ahead in some polls.
He needs your help to stay that way.

Please support Rand Paul For US Senate.
Click here to Volunteer Services For Rand Paul

Deserving Of Your Support

The above list is by no means complete.
I will add more names later.

All of the above are sound money constitutionalists who believe you know what to do with your money better than big government does. Every one of them deserves your support.

Their need for help goes far beyond cash contributions. Please, volunteer some time and sponsor signs, especially if you live in their district.

Things You Can Do

  • Host a Private Gathering
  • Phone Banking
  • Door-to-Door Canvassing
  • Be a Precinct Leader
  • Staff Events
  • Fund Raising
  • Stuff Envelopes
  • Write Letters to the Editor
  • Display a Yard Sign
  • Display a Bumper Sticker

For readers who own printing businesses, please volunteer to print yard signs or brochures for these candidates.

Every candidate on the above list is in favor of less government not more. All will support policies that will lead to business formation and more jobs.

Please do what you can to help.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.


Time To Take Back The Country; Congressional Candidates Deserving Your Support: Ron Paul, John Dennis, BJ Lawson, Rand Paul

Posted by: admin  :  Category: Hybrid

It’s time to take back our country. You can help. Moreover, you must help or it will not get done. There is a long list of politicians who need to be booted and some excellent choices for their replacements.

Here is a partial list of candidates I openly endorse. More names will follow later.

BJ Lawson For North Carolina 4th District

I have high hopes for BJ Lawson.
He will win with your help.
Please support BJ Lawson District 4 North Carolina
Click here to Volunteer Services For BJ Lawson

John Dennis For California 8th District

John Dennis is running against Nancy Pelosi.
He has a genuine shot but he needs your help to pull off an upset.

Please support John Dennis for District 8 California
Click here to Volunteer Services For John Dennis

Ron Paul For Texas 14th District

Please support Ron Paul for District 14 Texas
Click here to Volunteer Services For Ron Paul

Rand Paul For US Senate Kentucky

Rand Paul is ahead in some polls.
He needs your help to stay that way.

Please support Rand Paul For US Senate.
Click here to Volunteer Services For Rand Paul

Deserving Of Your Support

The above list is by no means complete.
I will add more names later.

All of the above are sound money constitutionalists who believe you know what to do with your money better than big government does. Every one of them deserves your support.

Their need for help goes far beyond cash contributions. Please, volunteer some time and sponsor signs, especially if you live in their district.

Things You Can Do

  • Host a Private Gathering
  • Phone Banking
  • Door-to-Door Canvassing
  • Be a Precinct Leader
  • Staff Events
  • Fund Raising
  • Stuff Envelopes
  • Write Letters to the Editor
  • Display a Yard Sign
  • Display a Bumper Sticker

For readers who own printing businesses, please volunteer to print yard signs or brochures for these candidates.

Every candidate on the above list is in favor of less government not more. All will support policies that will lead to business formation and more jobs.

Please do what you can to help.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.


BLS Live Question and Answer Session on Friday, April 2nd

Posted by: admin  :  Category: Hybrid

The BLS has a Live Question and Answer session this Friday between 9:30 and 10:30 EST.

Requirements

1. Access to http://www.coveritlive.com
2. Version 10 or later of the Adobe Flash Player

You can submit questions in advance via Question and Answer Feedback Form

Please save your question in case something goes wrong with the form or you need to resubmit it.

Seasonal Adjustment Amplitude

My question is on the the increasing amplitude of BLS seasonal adjustments as noted in BLS Seasonal Adjustments Gone Haywire; 11% Unemployment Coming by May?

Seasonally Unadjusted Unemployment vs. Unadjusted Unemployment

click on chart for sharper image

The above chart shows how the BLS smoothes the unemployment rate to account for seasonal trends. It also give as hint as to an increasing magnitude of that smoothing.

To highlight the month to month variances, I added a column to show the amplitude of the seasonal adjustments. The result is this chart.

Unadjusted Unemployment Minus Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment

click on chart for sharper image

Seasonal Adjustment Highlights

  • There is always a big BLS adjustment in January
  • There is always a reversion to the mean that overshoots to the downside between March and April
  • There is always a secondary rebound back above the 0.0% line in July, followed by a smaller overshoot to the downside in October.

The problem is in the increasing amplitude of these swings, in both directions.

The BLS attempts to smooth trends in unemployment with seasonal adjustments but those swings have increasing amplitude for the last two years. One explanation I have heard is the BLS is assuming a normal population basis and applies seasonality to that.

If so, I believe their methodology is distorted by the fact there are 14.9 million unemployed. One should not assume the same seasonal bounce with so many out of work permanently.

Without an explanation from the BLS though, we are guessing at the cause.

Even without the increasing amplitude, the pattern shows the BLS overcompensates in January (understating unemployment by approximately .5% most years), with understatement on unemployment in 2009 by nearly 1%, and the same this year as well (although census reporting may distort 2010).

While we cannot expect seasonal adjustments to be perfect, we should not see what appears to be the same cyclical over-corrections year in and year out in exactly the same months. If the BLS has an explanation for this, I will post it.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.


Corvette ZR1 Review and Test Ride – Modifed for More Power

Posted by: admin  :  Category: Hybrid


The highest horsepower car for sale in the history of General Motors at a whopping 638 is in itself a beast. Add American Racing headers and a smaller Lingenfelter supercharger pulley and snout and suddenly the Corvette ZR1 is just plain scary. It’s not only how hard your neck is snapped back, but how long it takes to get back to vertical. Some call it a butt dyno when guessing horsepower but in this car its a head dyno because its so fierce.

The owner, Ben Treynor, is a familiar name among fans of modified performance cars. His Renntech Mercedes S600 was profiled in the October 2003 issue of Car & Driver magazine. From a Supra Twin Turbo, multiple Vipers including what might be among the first (or first widely known) over 1,000 horsepower in a modern car. A previous owner of an 2006 Corvette Z-06 with LG Headers, he can attest to its disconcerting rear suspension movements and being nearly undrivable due to the excessive sound in the cabin from thin-walled exhaust headers.

His commuter car, which is allowed in carpool lanes, is a 2010 Tesla Roadster Sport. I think the Corvette should be allowed in any lane it wants due to its “awesomeness”.

This ZR1 produces approximately 590 rear wheel horsepower after mentioned modifications. Notice the stock airbox with the muffler in the slideshow. The LPE supercharger snout is lower than the stock location so there is a crimp that will be soon fixed for an additional horsepower increase of about 30hp at the rear wheel.

America’s Sports Car really isn’t. The Corvette ZR1 is actually America’s Grand Tourer. The Viper ACR is the pure sports car king now where the ZR1 does everything extremely well. Everything. Refinement, ride quality, sound levels and of course obtainable ultra-performance with low maintenance costs make it a top choice in the world. Especially if the MSRP of approximately $120,000 is included in consideration vs. alternatives. Not convinced? Over 18mpg isn’t too bad either. That’s a good figure for 400 horsepower cars.

Five stage traction control (TC) with a launch control feature is integrated into the powertrain and suspension. Of the two stages demonstrated, one allows for excessive wheelspin and tail-out antics. When it activates, it bogs a bit, almost as if it knows a big save is needed from whatever put you there. The second stage is so well tuned and quick acting, it’s the preferred setting. A brief pop is heard while power is very momentarily reduced with near relentless acceleration is enough, and actually perfect on the street. I never thought Id ever think there was enough power but I wasn’t acclimated to its furious rate of acceleration.

The factory launch control allows the rear suspension to squat and the front suspension to rise for weight transfer to enhance rear traction. An added benefit of the magnetic shocks.

The compliant ride with the magnetic (magnetic-rheological) shocks that have tour and sport settings make for a very comfortable ride. Even with the headers the car is very quiet, more so than the Porsche 997 Twin Turbo I reviewed. Another difference is the ridiculously large Brembo carbon-ceramic brakes do not squeal either.

The luggage compartment is nearly cavernous. Some complain about the size of the Corvette in comparison to other sports cars but taking into account its practicality, it’s hard to match. Yes, a Corvette is practical for two people.

A common complaint about the car is the styling is too closely related to the common base model and Z-06. On its own it looks great except for the ridiculous window in the hood, which has a view of another cover. It’s no Ferrari from that standpoint. However the vents, bulges and carbon fiber roof and other CF pieces are tastefully done and really spice it up nicely. Without the window on the hood, the bulge would be ominous.

Ben’s has a few complaints are the seats offer too little lateral support. This has been pointed out for years in Corvettes. Why GM doesn’t improve upon them is beyond me. Well maybe not. Cost reduction and more profit. Its not like its one of the mysteries of the universe, it’s a corporate mantra. The other is twitchy steering over bumps and uneven road surfaces which is not uncommon with very wide front tires. Wide as in 285/30/19s which is a rear tire width on other very powerful cars.

One of Bens favorite things about the ZR1 is the exhaust note. It really rips and I’ll try to get a video because it needs to be included in my Best Exhaust Sounds series.

He did state a wish-list item would be a dual clutch transmission. More aggressive gearing would be hard pressed to change the 0-60mph time because the car is so powerful and would translate to even easier wheelspin. But faster shifting and even more closely spaced ratios are always welcome. Traction management is an issue in 2nd gear as well. That means tire spin at speeds well above 60mph on dry pavement with sticky 335 series tires.

It’s outrageous but not exotic. A superb performer and easily upgradeable to be among the quickest cars on the street with handling to match. It can be driven cross country without hesitation with plenty of luggage capacity and get decent mileage. I can’t think of any other car that can do that. It can be a daily driver, driven hard and put away wet. And yes, I want one.

Links of interest:
Lingenfelter Performance Engineering – R.I.P. John L.
Newtech Performance Engineering: Not the first time I’ve encountered a blazing fast car from this shop.
_____
Have a question about cars you would like answered? Want to know about performance, racing, modifying, shopping, makes, models, events, etc? Ask me here: AskRobAboutCars@gmail.com and I’ll do my best to answer your question and publish it here on Examiner.com!


10 Signs of Speculative Mania in China

Posted by: admin  :  Category: Hybrid

Inquiring minds are reading a GMO white paper on China’s Red Flags

In the aftermath of the credit crunch, the outlook for most developed economies appears pretty bleak. Households need to deleverage. Western governments will have to tighten their purse strings. Faced with such grim prospects at home, many investors are turning their attention toward China. It’s easy to see why they are excited. China combines size – 1.3 billion inhabitants – with tremendous growth prospects. Current income per capita is roughly one-tenth of U.S. levels. The People’s Republic also has a great track record. Over the past thirty years, China’s Gross Domestic Product has increased sixteen-fold.

So what’s the catch? The trouble is that China today exhibits many of the characteristics of great speculative manias. The aim of this paper is to describe the common features of some of the great historical bubbles and outline China’s current vulnerability.

Past manias and financial crises have shared many common characteristics. Below is an attempt to list ten aspects of great bubbles over the past three centuries.

1. Great investment debacles generally start out with a compelling growth story. This may be attached to some revolutionary new technology, such as railways in the nineteenth century, radio in the 1920s, or more recently the Internet. Even when the new technology is for real, prospective rates of growth may beexaggerated. Early growth spurts are commonly extrapolated into the distant future. ….

2. A blind faith in the competence of the authorities is another typical feature of a classic mania. In the 1920s, investors believed that the recently established Federal Reserve had brought an end to “boom and bust.” A similar argument was trotted out in the mid-1990s when it was widely believed that the Greenspan Fed had succeeded in taming the business cycle. The “New Paradigm” disappeared in the bear market of the new millennium. It was soon replaced with the “Great Moderation” thesis of Ben Bernanke, which suggested that high levels of mortgage debt made sense because monetary policymaking was so vastly improved. …

3. A general increase in investment is another leading indicator of financial distress. Capital is generally misspent during periods of euphoria. Only during the bust does the extent of the misallocation become clear. As the nineteenth century economist John Mills observed: “Panics do not destroy capital; they merely reveal the extent to which it has been previously destroyed by its betrayal in hopelessly unproductive works.” …

4. Great booms are invariably accompanied by a surge in corruption. …

5. Strong growth in the money supply is another robust leading indicator of financial fragility. Easy money lies behind all great episodes of speculation from the Tulip Mania of the 1630s – which was funded with IOUs – onward. …

6. Fixed currency regimes often produce inappropriately low interest rates, which are liable to feed booms and end in busts. This lesson was ignored by the creators
of the European Monetary Union, which brought low rates and real estate booms to its smaller members, Spain and Ireland. ….

7. Crises generally follow a period of rampant credit growth. In the boom, liabilities are contracted that cannot subsequently be repaid. …

8. Moral hazard is another common feature of great speculative manias. Credit booms are often taken to extremes due to a prevailing belief that the authorities won’t let bad things happen to the financial system. …

9. A rising stock of debt is not the only cause for concern. The economist Hyman Minsky observed that during periods of prosperity, financial structures become
precarious. Investments financed with borrowed money don’t generate enough income to either service or repay the loan (what Minsky called “Ponzi finance”). …

10. Dodgy loans are generally secured against collateral, most commonly real estate. Thus, a combination of strong credit growth and rapidly rising property prices are a reliable leading indicator of very painful busts. …

The GMO article looks at each of the above points through the eyes of China.

1. The China Dream. For centuries, foreigners have pondered how to make money from China’s vast population. Today, the China Dream is more vivid than ever. The People’s Republic has more than 1.3 billion citizens, making it the world’s most populous nation. China’s rural population is gradually moving into its cities. A further 300 million country-dwellers – that’s roughly the same size as the U.S. population – are expected to head toward towns and cities over the next decade. It is generally assumed that the Chinese economy will continue to grow by around 8% annually in the coming years. …

2.In the Communist Party of China We Trust.

Twenty years ago, it was argued that “Japan is different” and that Tokyo’s economic policies were better than the West’s. A number of best-selling books lauded the land of the rising sun. One bore the infamous title, Japan as Number One.

Today, similar claims are made about the singularity of the Chinese economy and the superiority of Beijing’s policies. And similar expectations are entertained about China’s inexorable march to economic primacy.

3. Investment Boom. In a market-oriented economy, investment might be expected to fall during a period of uncertainty and economic turbulence. Yet in 2009, Chinese fixed asset investment climbed by 30% and contributed 90% of last year’s economic growth. Investment rose to a record 58% of GDP. These are remarkable figures. The key question is: how well was this money spent? ….

4. Corruption. All great speculative manias have been accompanied by rising levels of fraud. Only in the bust do we get to see the full extent of the “bezzle,” as the Enrons, WorldComs, and Madoffs come to light. The upturn in China’s property and infrastructure spending, however, provides a cyclical spur to malfeasance. The People’s Republic recently slipped to 79th place in Transparency International’s 2009 Corruption Perceptions Index, just below Burkina Faso. ….

5. Easy Money. Nobel laureate Friedrich Hayek differed from his great rival J.M. Keynes. While the latter argued that bubbles were the result of turbulent “animal spirits,” Hayek claimed that asset price inflation followed from excessively low interest rates. Easy money, said Hayek, fed through to monetary and credit expansion, leading to inflation, either in the general price level or in asset prices. …

6. The Fixed Exchange Rate and Capital Inflows. The Chinese currency, the renminbi, is pegged to the U.S. dollar. An undervalued exchange rate has boosted exports and kept interest rates low. It has also encouraged massive capital inflows, mostly in the form of foreign direct investment. Capital controls have limited inflows of hot money, although speculative inflows have picked up recently. …

7. The Credit Boom. In response to the global financial crisis and the collapse of export orders, Beijing ordered its banks to go out and lend. Last year, new bank lending increased by nearly RMB 10 trillion, a sum equivalent to 29% of GDP. These loans largely went to fund infrastructure projects, property developments, and state-owned enterprises in a number of industries. It was as if the economy had received an enormous adrenaline shot. What most analysts fail to consider is the hangover that generally follows a credit binge.

8. Moral Hazard. The major Chinese banks are controlled by the state. They have a history of poor lending decisions. …

9. Risky Lending Practices. …. No one can gauge the robustness of the credit system since Chinese banks appear particularly reluctant to report problematic loans. Ernst & Young published a 2006 report that estimated non-performing loans (NPLs) at $900 billion. This report was subsequently withdrawn. NPLs continued to decline in 2008 even as the stock market imploded and exports crashed. Fitch has suggested Chinese banks have been rolling over, or “ever-greening,” problematic loans. Bank employees have their own reasons for burying bad loans. A loan officer who reports problem debts is liable to have his salary reduced to below that of a migrant worker. Few seem to care about the practice of concealing nonperforming loans since it’s generally assumed that so long as the economy continues growing quickly, bad credits will turn good over time.

10. The Bubble. Surging credit has revived the animal spirits of Chinese investors. The Shanghai stock market recovered sharply in the first half of last year. On a single day in late July, turnover of “A-shares” in Shanghai exceeded the combined trading of the New York, London, and Tokyo stock exchanges. Chinese IPOs accounted for nearly two-thirds of global issuance by market value in the third quarter of last year. Chinese companies accounted for seven of the ten largest IPOs in the world. New issues were often massively oversubscribed and saw huge first day “pops.”

The Field of Dreams

Three years ago, Premier Wen described China’s economy as “unstable, unbalanced, uncoordinated and unsustainable.” The Great Recession hasn’t cured these imbalances. Rather, China’s ensuing investment and credit booms exacerbated them. The real estate market displays the classic symptoms of a bubble – stretched valuations, rampant speculation, and frenzied new construction. Sooner or later, this
bubble will burst.

In the past, whenever an economy has exhibited the 10 red flags listed in this paper there has been an unpleasant outcome. Forecasting the end game is no easy task since speculative bubbles can run to extremes. It’s made more difficult in this case by the fact that China is not a pure market economy. Stateowned enterprises can be called upon to prop up markets. Losses may be concealed or shuffled around like a shell game, as has happened in the past. Such measures, however, won’t cure China’s problems. They only delay the dénouement. …

There is much more in the article worth reading. Investigative minds will want to take a closer look.

Global Imbalances

On cased you missed them please consider the following articles on the ever growing global imbalances…

Spain, UK, Japan, Greece: Eurozone Structural Problems; Spain’s Economic Woes; Pain In Britain; Deflation Persists In Japan

US, Canada: California USA vs. Ontario Canada – Which State (Province) Is In Worse Shape? Canadian Banks vs. US Banks Comparison

Australia: Money Madness In Oz

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.


Eurozone Structural Problems; Spain’s Economic Woes; Pain In Britain; Deflation Persists In Japan

Posted by: admin  :  Category: Hybrid

Edward Hugh at Euro Watch is asking From A Greek Debt Crisis To A Eurozone Structural One?

When we look back five years from now, will we see this week as marking a turning point in the short, but far from uneventful, ten year history of Europe’s common currency?

Simon Derrick, chief currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon even went so far as to say the trauma of recent days might well signal the point that we stop talking about a “Greek debt crisis” and start talking about a “Eurozone structural crisis” .

Basically it is important to recognise that the current crisis has placed the spotlight on the severe institutional weaknesses which lie underpin the common currency, and it is just these weaknesses which are leading so many commentators to now ask themselves whether it might not have been easier to implement political union in Europe before embarking on such an ambitious monetary experiment.

These weaknesses became even more clear on Thursday when Jean Claude Trichet went very public in making clear that he personally is totally opposed to IMF participation in any Greece “rescue”.

The Economist magazine have done their own calculation on this, and they estimate that a loan of €75 billion rather than the currently rumoured €25 billion will be needed and that the country is likely to need five years (rather than three) to get its deficit down below 3% of GDP. They also assume that Greek GDP will be 5% below its current level by 2014. Obviously the output you get in these sort of calculations rather depend on the expectations you put in, but these are not unrealistic expectations.

The bottom line is that there is no easy answer here, and Europe is struggling to convince the rest of the world that it has both the will and the instruments to effectively tackle the problem of maintaining a single currency in a diverse group of countries. Herman Van Rompuy said on Friday there was no danger of Portugal being sucked into the same sort of debt whirlpool as Greece, and that Portugal would not be the next country to be sent over to Washington in search of a helping technical hand from the IMF. Which raises the question: if it won’t be Portugal, who will it be?

Spain’s Economic Woes

The Economist is discussing Spain and The Mañana Syndrome

The list of things that need repair is extensive. Spain’s structural faults were long hidden by a housing bubble and have been glaringly exposed now that it has burst. From unemployment and low productivity growth, and from troubled savings banks to creaky public finances, the problems are piling up. With the government unwilling to apply radical surgery, there are fears that Spain will fall further behind its neighbours. “The risk is that we will have a lost decade, like Portugal or Japan,” says Lorenzo Bernaldo de Quirós, an economist at Freemarket International Consulting in Madrid.

Unemployment tops most people’s worries. Faster growth is needed to bring it down. Yet Spain has been in recession for seven quarters; the government expects GDP to shrink again this year; and the IMF forecasts growth of less than 1% in 2011.

The public finances must also be fixed. Last year’s deficit ballooned to over 11% of GDP. In January Elena Salgado, the finance minister, produced an outline of austerity measures that calmed market fears about Spanish debt. But two months later the plan still lacks detail—and has an obvious flaw. An optimistic Ms Salgado predicted growth of 3% in both 2012 and 2013, bringing added revenues to cut the deficit. Spain’s European commissioner, Joaquín Almunia, has warned against the sin of over-optimism. Growth will not go over 2% until 2014, says Ángel Laborda, an economist at FUNCAS, the savings banks’ foundation. He reckons that more tax rises and spending cuts are inevitable if the government is to hit its 3% deficit target by 2013.

The Bank of Spain’s governor, Miguel Ángel Fernández Ordóñez, is calling for reform of a rigid labour market that makes most employees too costly to fire but condemns a third of workers to unstable, unprotected temporary jobs. Yet the government has repeatedly delayed pension and labour reforms. Mr Zapatero’s great goal is to conserve social peace. That means keeping trade unions happy, even if reforms (and growth) have to wait.

Some detect a whiff of cowardice. Mr Zapatero’s determination to avoid general strikes is proof that he will never take a difficult decision, says Artur Mas, head of the Catalan Convergence and Union coalition. And because broad agreements on public-spending cuts lack detail, they also lack urgency.

The delay in sorting out the cajas adds to the sense of drift. Most Spaniards do not see the economy improving any time soon. Faith in the political class is at rock bottom. The Spanish now rate politicians as a bigger problem than their old bugbear, terrorism. Mr Zapatero’s Socialists are trailing in the polls—but an election is not due for two more years.

UK Pain To Come

The British Economy has Pain To Come.

As Britain prepares to go to the polls, its sick economy is uppermost in voters’ minds. With good reason. There are fundamental doubts that it can ever recover fully from a banking crisis and recession that laid Britain lower than many other rich countries. In the short term, the worry is whether a feeble recovery reliant on fiscal and monetary life-support can develop its own driving force.

The economy shrank by 5% last year, the biggest fall since the Great Depression. The contraction over the six quarters of the recession was 6.2%. That peak-to-trough decline was less severe than in Japan, Germany and Italy, but the recession lasted longer than in any other G7 economy.

The public finances look even worse. Not only is the budget deficit the highest, as a proportion of GDP, since the second world war, but this year’s will be the biggest of any G7 (and even G20) economy, according to the IMF. The build-up in government debt between 2007 and 2014 will be second only to Japan’s (see chart 1).

Recent disappointing export performance has dimmed hopes that Britain can trade its way out of the quagmire.

As one reverse has followed another, Britain’s economic reputation has nosedived. So has sterling. Its trade-weighted value has fallen by around a quarter since mid-2007, a bigger decline even than after the pound was turfed out of the European exchange-rate mechanism in 1992. For some, Britain now vies with the distressed likes of Greece and Spain for the title of sick man of Europe.

There is also more than a passing resemblance to Japan, which never regained its economic stride after its banking crisis of the 1990s. Could Britain now follow suit, given that its financial system came so close to collapse in October 2008? Those inclined to think so find worrying confirmation in a report by McKinsey, a management consultancy, which shows that total indebtedness in the British economy was the highest as a share of GDP among ten advanced countries in 2008, narrowly beating Japan’s.

Britain’s political economy is on trial as much as its economy. The government is currently spending four pounds for every three it receives in revenues. This reflects not just the severity of the recession but misjudgments during the good years. It was a mistake to be borrowing at all, let alone over 2% of GDP, in 2006 and 2007 when the economy was strong. Moreover, that deficit would have been even higher but for inflated receipts from ebullient property markets and financial firms.

Mr Darling’s budget is the last breath of a dying government. What will really count is the first one of the next parliament. That budget will have to do what the chancellor failed to do: set out a credible plan for reducing the deficit, grounded in sober rather than wishful forecasts for growth, decide where spending cuts will actually be made, and also—in all probability—announce additional tax increases.

The country’s economic future may be less dazzling than before but that glitter turned out to be fool’s gold. After those excesses, a period of private sobriety and public austerity may prove to be no bad thing.

There is much more to see in Economist articles on Spain and the UK. Please give them a look.

Deflation Persists In Japan

Bloomberg is reporting Japan Deflation Persists as Consumer Prices Fall 1.2%

Japan’s consumer prices fell for a 12th month in February, adding pressure on the central bank to eradicate deflation that is hampering the economic recovery.

Prices excluding fresh food slid 1.2 percent from a year earlier, after dropping a 1.3 percent in each of the preceding two months, the statistics bureau said today in Tokyo.

Finance Minister Naoto Kan said the report shows more efforts are needed to overcome deflation even as price declines ease.

Because of Japan’s record public debt, “the scope for fiscal stimulus is very, very limited to non-existent, but there’s probably more scope on the monetary side,” said John Praveen, chief investment strategist at Prudential International Investments Advisers LLC, a unit of Prudential Financial Inc., which manages $667 billion. BOJ liquidity injections will support the economy and stock market even as deflation persists, he said on Bloomberg Television.

What does Japan have to show for two years of fighting deflation?

This:

With credit once again to the Economist.

Japan’s 2014 estimated 246% ratio of debt to GDP exceeds every other G7 country by a mile.

Take a look at the problems in Spain, Japan, Greece, Italy, and the UK. Even Canada does not look so hot as noted in California USA vs. Ontario Canada – Which State (Province) Is In Worse Shape?

Moreover, Canada, Australia, the UK, and China all have huge property bubbles that have yet to pop, but they will.

The US is certainly not alone in fiscal problems. Indeed, global imbalances mount as governments all over the globe sing the praises of the nascent recovery. Unfortunately there is no recovery, only a mirage of ever mounting debt.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.


Searching For Jobs – Just How Bad Is It?

Posted by: admin  :  Category: Hybrid

Want a job scooping poop? 260 people do. They applied for a job opening on Craigslist posted by Guy Palumbo, owner of Roscoe’s Ranch, a 24-kennel outfit. Please consider Recession’s untold story

You want to be the kennel helper? You’re on the hook for the poop. You’ll spend part of every day scooping it up (if all digestive systems work as designed) or mopping it (when they don’t).

“Usually I get high-school kids applying. Or maybe a college kid for the summer. I’ve never seen anything like this.” says Palumbo.

Who now wants to be a dog-kennel assistant?

  • A laid-off graphic designer
  • A freelance photographer.
  • Two out-of-work teachers sent résumés.
  • Someone in their mid-40s who had worked as a financial controller at an environmental services company.
  • Past customer-service reps from WaMu, AT&T, J.C. Penney and Sprint.
  • Retail clerks and cashiers.
  • Out-of-work waiters.

They may say the recession’s over, on paper or on the nightly news. Palumbo’s electronic stack of résumés says otherwise.

“It’s simply amazing to me, and I still can’t believe it,” he said, “that from age 14 up into their 60s this many people are dying to be a minimum-wage dog-kennel assistant.”

In a spoof response “Cat” says …

We are forming dog kennel poop scrapers union #223. It’s quite obvious that Palumbo’s kennel is in need of 2 poop scooper and a fair wage of $65k/year plus full benefits. Of course we require enough fees out of those paychecks to pay my salary as well. I will be in touch.

Why stop there?

Cat pooper scoopers must have a union as well. And what about hampster sitting?

Think of the things dogs eat, cats too. Especially the latter. Cat handlers might pick up bird flue because cats chase and eat birds.

Some sort of pay scale parity between cat and dog scoopers needs to be finalized.

Moreover, it should be crystal clear these workers need training in hazardous waste handling. Because of likely accidents, it goes to reason that pooper scoopers need to retire at age 45 with full benefits to account for shortened lifespans.

And what about mandatory shower systems? Every hazardous waste site should have showers and proper disposal of wastewater, all handled by properly trained union workers of course.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.


Searching For Jobs – Just How Bad Is It?

Posted by: admin  :  Category: Hybrid

Want a job scooping poop? 260 people do. They applied for a job opening on Craigslist posted by Guy Palumbo, owner of Roscoe’s Ranch, a 24-kennel outfit. Please consider Recession’s untold story

You want to be the kennel helper? You’re on the hook for the poop. You’ll spend part of every day scooping it up (if all digestive systems work as designed) or mopping it (when they don’t).

“Usually I get high-school kids applying. Or maybe a college kid for the summer. I’ve never seen anything like this.” says Palumbo.

Who now wants to be a dog-kennel assistant?

  • A laid-off graphic designer
  • A freelance photographer.
  • Two out-of-work teachers sent résumés.
  • Someone in their mid-40s who had worked as a financial controller at an environmental services company.
  • Past customer-service reps from WaMu, AT&T, J.C. Penney and Sprint.
  • Retail clerks and cashiers.
  • Out-of-work waiters.

They may say the recession’s over, on paper or on the nightly news. Palumbo’s electronic stack of résumés says otherwise.

“It’s simply amazing to me, and I still can’t believe it,” he said, “that from age 14 up into their 60s this many people are dying to be a minimum-wage dog-kennel assistant.”

In a spoof response “Cat” says …

We are forming dog kennel poop scrapers union #223. It’s quite obvious that Palumbo’s kennel is in need of 2 poop scooper and a fair wage of $65k/year plus full benefits. Of course we require enough fees out of those paychecks to pay my salary as well. I will be in touch.

Why stop there?

Cat pooper scoopers must have a union as well. And what about hampster sitting?

Think of the things dogs eat, cats too. Especially the latter. Cat handlers might pick up bird flue because cats chase and eat birds.

Some sort of pay scale parity between cat and dog scoopers needs to be finalized.

Moreover, it should be crystal clear these workers need training in hazardous waste handling. Because of likely accidents, it goes to reason that pooper scoopers need to retire at age 45 with full benefits to account for shortened lifespans.

And what about mandatory shower systems? Every hazardous waste site should have showers and proper disposal of wastewater, all handled by properly trained union workers of course.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.


Bid Rigging at JPM; Foreigners Flock To Munis; History Tax In Portland; 2000 Congressional Staffers Make Six Figures; Trade Wars With France

Posted by: admin  :  Category: Hybrid

Here is a weekend wrapup of stories of interest over the past week or so that I was unable to comment on at the time in more detail.

Bid Rigging Conspiracy at JPMorgan

JPMorgan, Lehman, UBS Named in Bid-Rigging Conspiracy

March 26 (Bloomberg) — JPMorgan Chase & Co., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and UBS AG were among more than a dozen Wall Street firms involved in a conspiracy to pay below-market interest rates to U.S. state and local governments on investments, according to documents filed in a U.S. Justice Department criminal antitrust case.

A government list of previously unidentified “co- conspirators” contains more than two dozen bankers at firms also including Bank of America Corp., Bear Stearns Cos., Societe Generale, two of General Electric Co.’s financial businesses and Salomon Smith Barney, the former unit of Citigroup Inc., according to documents filed in U.S. District Court in Manhattan on March 24.

The court records mark the first time these companies have been identified as co-conspirators. They provide the broadest look yet at alleged collusion in the $2.8 trillion municipal securities market that the government says delivered profits to Wall Street at taxpayers’ expense.

The only way to stop this kind of bullsweet is to imprison those guilty, while also holding those at the top accountable for those underneath them. Make no mistake about this. Corporate culture from the top down encourages these kind of ripoffs.

76-story Columbia Center Misses Mortgage Payment

Columbia Center misses mortgage payment

The owner of the Northwest’s tallest building, the 76-story Columbia Center, missed a mortgage payment this month, providing fresh evidence of the troubles facing downtown Seattle office landlords.

Boston-based Beacon Capital Partners failed to make a scheduled payment of $1.65 million on a $380 million loan it took out when it bought the tower three years ago, according to a recent report by Wells Fargo Bank, which administers the debt.

The loan faces “imminent default due to cash flow issues,”says a note in the report. A spokesman for Beacon, the Seattle area’s largest office landlord, declined comment.

Downtown’s overall vacancy rate is at or above 20 percent, according to brokerage reports. At the Columbia Center, however, almost 600,000 square feet — nearly 40 percent of the building — is listed as “available” on online commercial real-estate database Officespace.com.

That includes space that is vacant now and space expected to be emptied in the next year or so, including 177,000 square feet leased by Amazon.com, which is moving to a new headquarters complex now under construction in South Lake Union.

Beacon paid $621 million of which $480 million was financed. The assessed valuation is now $380 million.

Home Buying Frenzy in Erin Mills Canada

Homes create buying frenzy

At first glance, it looks like a mini tent city. But the shivering occupants aren’t refugees from an earthquake or some other calamity, nor are they lovers of the outdoors jumping the gun on camping season. Instead, they’re braving the weather and the curious stares of passersby to be first in line to buy a townhouse in Erin Mills.

The bravest – some might say craziest – is Baz Munshi, who showed up at the Daniels FirstHome site, near Winston Churchill Blvd. and Eglinton Ave., more than a week ago.

By the time the 130 fully-built condo units finally go on sale Saturday morning, Munshi will have been in front of the line nearly two weeks.

This is reminiscent and nearly as silly as standing in line in Florida to by condos five years ago. How well did that turn out?

History Tax In Portland

Cash-strapped society explores history tax

Do Portlanders really care about their history? More to the point, are they willing to pay for it? We may soon find out.

The Oregon Historical Society – bruised by multiple hits to its funding and slashed services – is exploring creation of a “heritage taxing district” empowered to collect a modest amount of property taxes, with voter approval, in Multnomah County.

If the taxing district or alternative fundraising ideas don’t pan out, the 112-year-old nonprofit, which operates the Oregon History Museum and research library in downtown Portland, expects to exhaust its cash reserves by late next year or early 2012, says George Vogt, the society’s executive director.

If the society’s board of trustees doesn’t see a path to stable funding by late June, Vogt says, “they’re likely to put the place in a phased shutdown.”

A fixture in the downtown cultural district, the museum attracts 45,000 tourists and other visitors annually, including thousands of students learning about Oregon history. The society owns 85,000 artifacts, many stored in a Gresham vault, including Native American baskets, Oregon Trail mementos and other material.

In response to pleas from the Southern Oregon Historical Society, which also is experiencing money woes, the Legislature passed a 2007 law enabling the formation of heritage districts to levy property taxes. The district would be similar to special taxing districts for soil and water conservation or library service. In each district, voters would elect a board of directors and must approve any property taxes the district levied.

A tentative proposal is to charge 5 cents in taxes for every $1,000 in assessed property value, or $10 a year for owners of a house with a $200,000 tax assessment.

Here’s the simple solution. Raise fees to cover the cost. If no one is willing to pay, sell. I actually bet volunteer history buffs would step up with timely donations to keep the building running at minimal cost.

Staffed by volunteers, a simple entry fee of $2.50 should be more than sufficient, assuming the society can get 45,000 visitors. However a quick check shows admission is $11.00 for adults and $9.00 for students.

The Oregon Historical Society has a staff of 31. Good grief. The museum is only open 1 to 5 p.m. Thursday, Friday and Saturday. It takes a staff of 31 for that?

2000 Congressional Staffers Make Six Figures

2,000 House staffers make six figures

Nearly 2,000 House of Representatives staffers pulled down six-figure salaries in 2009, including 43 staffers who earned the maximum $172,500 — or more than three times the median U.S. household income.

Starting salaries on Capitol Hill are still low — many entry-level congressional jobs pay less than $30,000 a year. And many of the most highly paid staffers could make several times the maximum by jumping to lobbying and consulting jobs in the private sector.

But the salary data, compiled for POLITICO by LegiStorm.com, show that it’s possible to make an enviable living in Congress, even without winning an election.

Ryan Ellis, tax policy director of Americans for Tax Reform, says that the sheer number of staffers who are earning the maximum amount of pay — or are creeping close — is troubling for taxpayers.

Trade Wars With France

France vows retaliation against US in air tanker dispute

France has vowed to retaliate against the United States for allegedly shutting Europe’s aviation giant EADS out of a $50bn (£33.4bn) defence contract, warning of potential damage to the Atlantic alliance.

“This is a serious affair,” said France’s Europe minister Pierre Lellouche. “I can assure you that there will be consequences.”

“You cannot expect Europeans to contribute to global defence if you deny their industries the right to work on both sides of the Atlantic,” he said, adding that French president Nicolas Sarkozy would take action “at the appropriate time”.

The escalating spat comes after EADS withdrew this week from a joint bid with Northrop Grumman to supply the Pentagon with A330 air refuelling tankers, alleging that the procurement terms had been rigged to favour Boeing.

Rainer Brüderle, Germany’s economy minister, has also expressed outrage, alleging that the tender “had clearly been designed to favour Boeing under political pressure.”

Joachim Pfeiffer, Bundestag spokesman for the Christian Democrats, said the Pentagon’s conduct was “scandalous”, a sentiment echoed by a string of politicians on Wednesday.

Foreigners Flock To Munis

Municipal Bond Yields Reach Four-Month High Amid Wave of Supply

Yields on top-rated tax-exempt municipal debt climbed to their highest level in four months as investors flocked to taxable Build America Bonds amid the biggest weekly issuance of state and local debt since Dec. 11.

While tax-exempt prices were crimped, California turned to overseas investors in selling $3.4 billion in taxable debt yesterday, including $2.5 billion of Build America Bonds. International investors put in orders for more than 35 percent of the state’s debt, Treasurer Bill Lockyer said in a statement.

“We have a lot of foreign investors looking at California debt as a place where other investors are scared off, perhaps irrationally,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “You hear a lot about California’s woes here, but maybe you don’t over at South Korea investment funds or places like that.”

In every cycle, foreign buyers rush in at the top.

For more on Munis see Wealthy Unload Munis; Junk, Corporates, Equities, All Overpriced; Take Some Chips Off The Table

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.


Bid Rigging at JPM; Foreigners Flock To Munis; History Tax In Portland; 2000 Congressional Staffers Make Six Figures; Trade Wars With France

Posted by: admin  :  Category: Hybrid

Here is a weekend wrapup of stories of interest over the past week or so that I was unable to comment on at the time in more detail.

Bid Rigging Conspiracy at JPMorgan

JPMorgan, Lehman, UBS Named in Bid-Rigging Conspiracy

March 26 (Bloomberg) — JPMorgan Chase & Co., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and UBS AG were among more than a dozen Wall Street firms involved in a conspiracy to pay below-market interest rates to U.S. state and local governments on investments, according to documents filed in a U.S. Justice Department criminal antitrust case.

A government list of previously unidentified “co- conspirators” contains more than two dozen bankers at firms also including Bank of America Corp., Bear Stearns Cos., Societe Generale, two of General Electric Co.’s financial businesses and Salomon Smith Barney, the former unit of Citigroup Inc., according to documents filed in U.S. District Court in Manhattan on March 24.

The court records mark the first time these companies have been identified as co-conspirators. They provide the broadest look yet at alleged collusion in the $2.8 trillion municipal securities market that the government says delivered profits to Wall Street at taxpayers’ expense.

The only way to stop this kind of bullsweet is to imprison those guilty, while also holding those at the top accountable for those underneath them. Make no mistake about this. Corporate culture from the top down encourages these kind of ripoffs.

76-story Columbia Center Misses Mortgage Payment

Columbia Center misses mortgage payment

The owner of the Northwest’s tallest building, the 76-story Columbia Center, missed a mortgage payment this month, providing fresh evidence of the troubles facing downtown Seattle office landlords.

Boston-based Beacon Capital Partners failed to make a scheduled payment of $1.65 million on a $380 million loan it took out when it bought the tower three years ago, according to a recent report by Wells Fargo Bank, which administers the debt.

The loan faces “imminent default due to cash flow issues,”says a note in the report. A spokesman for Beacon, the Seattle area’s largest office landlord, declined comment.

Downtown’s overall vacancy rate is at or above 20 percent, according to brokerage reports. At the Columbia Center, however, almost 600,000 square feet — nearly 40 percent of the building — is listed as “available” on online commercial real-estate database Officespace.com.

That includes space that is vacant now and space expected to be emptied in the next year or so, including 177,000 square feet leased by Amazon.com, which is moving to a new headquarters complex now under construction in South Lake Union.

Beacon paid $621 million of which $480 million was financed. The assessed valuation is now $380 million.

Home Buying Frenzy in Erin Mills Canada

Homes create buying frenzy

At first glance, it looks like a mini tent city. But the shivering occupants aren’t refugees from an earthquake or some other calamity, nor are they lovers of the outdoors jumping the gun on camping season. Instead, they’re braving the weather and the curious stares of passersby to be first in line to buy a townhouse in Erin Mills.

The bravest – some might say craziest – is Baz Munshi, who showed up at the Daniels FirstHome site, near Winston Churchill Blvd. and Eglinton Ave., more than a week ago.

By the time the 130 fully-built condo units finally go on sale Saturday morning, Munshi will have been in front of the line nearly two weeks.

This is reminiscent and nearly as silly as standing in line in Florida to by condos five years ago. How well did that turn out?

History Tax In Portland

Cash-strapped society explores history tax

Do Portlanders really care about their history? More to the point, are they willing to pay for it? We may soon find out.

The Oregon Historical Society – bruised by multiple hits to its funding and slashed services – is exploring creation of a “heritage taxing district” empowered to collect a modest amount of property taxes, with voter approval, in Multnomah County.

If the taxing district or alternative fundraising ideas don’t pan out, the 112-year-old nonprofit, which operates the Oregon History Museum and research library in downtown Portland, expects to exhaust its cash reserves by late next year or early 2012, says George Vogt, the society’s executive director.

If the society’s board of trustees doesn’t see a path to stable funding by late June, Vogt says, “they’re likely to put the place in a phased shutdown.”

A fixture in the downtown cultural district, the museum attracts 45,000 tourists and other visitors annually, including thousands of students learning about Oregon history. The society owns 85,000 artifacts, many stored in a Gresham vault, including Native American baskets, Oregon Trail mementos and other material.

In response to pleas from the Southern Oregon Historical Society, which also is experiencing money woes, the Legislature passed a 2007 law enabling the formation of heritage districts to levy property taxes. The district would be similar to special taxing districts for soil and water conservation or library service. In each district, voters would elect a board of directors and must approve any property taxes the district levied.

A tentative proposal is to charge 5 cents in taxes for every $1,000 in assessed property value, or $10 a year for owners of a house with a $200,000 tax assessment.

Here’s the simple solution. Raise fees to cover the cost. If no one is willing to pay, sell. I actually bet volunteer history buffs would step up with timely donations to keep the building running at minimal cost.

Staffed by volunteers, a simple entry fee of $2.50 should be more than sufficient, assuming the society can get 45,000 visitors. However a quick check shows admission is $11.00 for adults and $9.00 for students.

The Oregon Historical Society has a staff of 31. Good grief. The museum is only open 1 to 5 p.m. Thursday, Friday and Saturday. It takes a staff of 31 for that?

2000 Congressional Staffers Make Six Figures

2,000 House staffers make six figures

Nearly 2,000 House of Representatives staffers pulled down six-figure salaries in 2009, including 43 staffers who earned the maximum $172,500 — or more than three times the median U.S. household income.

Starting salaries on Capitol Hill are still low — many entry-level congressional jobs pay less than $30,000 a year. And many of the most highly paid staffers could make several times the maximum by jumping to lobbying and consulting jobs in the private sector.

But the salary data, compiled for POLITICO by LegiStorm.com, show that it’s possible to make an enviable living in Congress, even without winning an election.

Ryan Ellis, tax policy director of Americans for Tax Reform, says that the sheer number of staffers who are earning the maximum amount of pay — or are creeping close — is troubling for taxpayers.

Trade Wars With France

France vows retaliation against US in air tanker dispute

France has vowed to retaliate against the United States for allegedly shutting Europe’s aviation giant EADS out of a $50bn (£33.4bn) defence contract, warning of potential damage to the Atlantic alliance.

“This is a serious affair,” said France’s Europe minister Pierre Lellouche. “I can assure you that there will be consequences.”

“You cannot expect Europeans to contribute to global defence if you deny their industries the right to work on both sides of the Atlantic,” he said, adding that French president Nicolas Sarkozy would take action “at the appropriate time”.

The escalating spat comes after EADS withdrew this week from a joint bid with Northrop Grumman to supply the Pentagon with A330 air refuelling tankers, alleging that the procurement terms had been rigged to favour Boeing.

Rainer Brüderle, Germany’s economy minister, has also expressed outrage, alleging that the tender “had clearly been designed to favour Boeing under political pressure.”

Joachim Pfeiffer, Bundestag spokesman for the Christian Democrats, said the Pentagon’s conduct was “scandalous”, a sentiment echoed by a string of politicians on Wednesday.

Foreigners Flock To Munis

Municipal Bond Yields Reach Four-Month High Amid Wave of Supply

Yields on top-rated tax-exempt municipal debt climbed to their highest level in four months as investors flocked to taxable Build America Bonds amid the biggest weekly issuance of state and local debt since Dec. 11.

While tax-exempt prices were crimped, California turned to overseas investors in selling $3.4 billion in taxable debt yesterday, including $2.5 billion of Build America Bonds. International investors put in orders for more than 35 percent of the state’s debt, Treasurer Bill Lockyer said in a statement.

“We have a lot of foreign investors looking at California debt as a place where other investors are scared off, perhaps irrationally,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “You hear a lot about California’s woes here, but maybe you don’t over at South Korea investment funds or places like that.”

In every cycle, foreign buyers rush in at the top.

For more on Munis see Wealthy Unload Munis; Junk, Corporates, Equities, All Overpriced; Take Some Chips Off The Table

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.